November 30, 2025
Introducing the Opta API Connector for matchflow
Streamline your football data pipelines with direct, hassle-free Opta API integration for matchflow...
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Insights, research, and analysis on football analytics
October 01, 2025
Shrinkage, Uncertainty, and Son Heung-min: Using Bayesian Methods to Identify Finishing Ability
Why most finishing metrics are flawed and how a Bayesian approach gives us a truer picture of a player's finishing ability...
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September 14, 2025
From Biased Odds to Fair Probabilities: Removing the Bookmaker's Overround
A simple guide to stripping the overround and finding the real probabilities behind the bookmaker's odds...
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August 14, 2025
Penaltyblog v1.5.0: Faster Models, Smarter Queries, and a Sharper Edge
v1.5.0 delivers interactive charts, faster models, upgraded football probability grid, and a powerful Flow query language - all designed to make your analysis sharper and quicker...
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July 16, 2025
How Accurate Are Soccer Odds? A Data Dive into 250 Million Betting Lines
A data-driven deep dive into how accurately bookmakers price global soccer markets...
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June 10, 2025
MatchFlow 1.4.0: Optimizing, Visualizing, and Validating your Data Pipelines
MatchFlow just got smarter, friendlier, and more powerful for optimizing your pipelines, visualizing your data flow, and keeping your data clean...
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May 25, 2025
Introducing MatchFlow: a JSON-native query engine for football data.
MatchFlow is a JSON-native query engine for football data - no flattening, no fuss...
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May 01, 2025
Better Metrics for Football Forecasts: Moving Beyond the Ranked Probability Score
Why the Ranked Probability Score might be misleading your football model evaluations, and what to use instead....
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April 14, 2025
Pi Ratings: The Smarter Way to Rank Football Teams
A smarter, football-focused alternative to Elo — using Pi Ratings to track team strength and predict matches...
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March 10, 2025
Football Prediction Models: Which Ones Work the Best?
Comparing football goals models — Poisson, Dixon-Coles, and more — to see which predicts best and how to optimize them...
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