Blog List.

Chance Articles


The Eastwood Index, MLS and Parity.

Posted: 2013-05-07 19:30:00+01:00. | By: Martin Eastwood.

I showed in my last post how Major League Soccer (MLS) is a much more closely matched league than the English Premier League (EPL), with the wage cap and draft system increasing the parity between teams...

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How Much Does Luck Affect MLS?.

Posted: 2013-05-02 19:30:00+01:00. | By: Martin Eastwood.

Following my recent article for Betting Expert quantifying how large a role luck plays in the English Premier League (EPL) I thought it would be interesting to look at Major League Soccer (MLS) too...

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How Much Does Luck Affect Football?.

Posted: 2013-04-30 19:30:00+01:00. | By: Martin Eastwood.

I’ve written a new article for Betting Expert quantifying how much luck affects football...

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What Is The Chance of Bradford City reaching Wembley?.

Posted: 2013-01-22 19:30:00+00:00. | By: Martin Eastwood.

With League Two’s Bradford City only one match away from playing at Wembley in the League Cup final I thought it would be interesting to see what the chances were of them getting this far...

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Disparity in European Football Leagues.

Posted: 2012-11-20 19:30:00+00:00. | By: Martin Eastwood.

Having mentioned the effect disparity plays on determining the league champions in previous posts I thought it would be interesting to look at the actual levels of disparity currently present in football.

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Effect of Season Length on Deciding the League Champion.

Posted: 2012-11-12 19:30:00+00:00. | By: Martin Eastwood.

In my previous article I looked at the interplay between luck and skill in determining the league champions. There is another parameter though that also interacts with luck and that is the structure of the league itself.

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How Often Does The Best Team Win The League?.

Posted: 2012-11-08 19:30:00+00:00. | By: Martin Eastwood.

How often does the best team win the league? Probably not as often as you think as it is not just talent that is required for success; a decent amount of luck is needed too.

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